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Sur · Topic file

Is Sur building fast enough for the role it has been handed?

A spatial plan only becomes real when permits and settlements start lining up with the role the governorate has been given. Until then, it is still just a map. For Sur, the honest read comes down to registered population and building permits.

374,962

Registered population

That puts Sur at 6 of 11 on the official table.

3,201

Building permits

That puts Sur at 5 of 11 on the official table.

The numbers

Where Sur stands today, chart by chart

Registered population

Registered population by governorate in 2025.

Ranking chart showing registered population across Oman's governorates, with Ash Sharqiyah South highlighted.0383,122766,2431,149,3651,532,486Muscat1,532,486Al Batinah North939,746Al Batinah South585,794Ad Dakhiliyah570,269Dhofar532,897Ash Sharqiyah South374,962Ash Sharqiyah North321,045Adh Dhahirah246,823Al Buraymi135,509Al Wusta64,024Musandam56,002

NCSI Statistical Year Book 2026, Population, Area and Population Density by Governorates.

Building permits

New and renewed building permits by governorate in 2025.

Ranking chart showing building permits across Oman's governorates, with Ash Sharqiyah South highlighted.02,0494,0976,1468,194Al Batinah South8,194Al Batinah North7,179Ad Dakhiliyah5,993Muscat5,854Ash Sharqiyah South3,201Ash Sharqiyah North3,039Dhofar2,831Adh Dhahirah2,345Al Buraymi749Musandam610Al Wusta345

NCSI Statistical Year Book 2026, Table 7-3.

The trend over time

How Sur got here

Building permits

Building permits issued since 2020. One of the clearest signals of how busy — or how quiet — local construction actually is.

Time-series chart showing building permits for Ash Sharqiyah South using only official governorate data.1,8952,4923,0893,6864,2822020202120222023202420252020: 2,2842025: 3,201Official actual

2020–2024: Table 7-3, Statistical Year Book 2025 (Issue 53). 2025: Table 7-3, Statistical Year Book 2026 (Issue 54).

Population projection

NCSI's official population projection by governorate, year by year from 2020 to 2040 — the clearest long-range planning curve currently in the public record.

Time-series chart showing population projection for Ash Sharqiyah South using only official governorate data.314,091374,160434,229494,298554,368202020252030203520402020: 336,6172030: 429,7262040: 524,333Official projection

Annual 2020–2040 line: NCSI population projection dataset. MOHUP's Urban Strategy 2040 sets out each governorate's intended growth path alongside it.

These are projections, not targets. Treat them as a pressure test for housing, services, land and infrastructure needs over the next 15 years — not as commitments.

Reading the charts

What the latest tables are really saying

  • Sur is showing 374,962 on registered population. That puts Sur at 6 of 11 on the official table.
  • Sur is showing 3,201 on building permits. That puts Sur at 5 of 11 on the official table.
  • The official MOHUP role is unambiguous: Ash Sharqiyah South should become a leading centre for marine activity, balancing industry, fisheries, marine research, tourism, agriculture and the environmental constraints of the coast. For that to actually work, building has to concentrate in the right places — not just spread across more empty plots.

Why this file matters

The strategy Sur is being measured against

Population, permits and whether the place is actually being built fast enough for the role it has been handed.

The official MOHUP role is unambiguous: Ash Sharqiyah South should become a leading centre for marine activity, balancing industry, fisheries, marine research, tourism, agriculture and the environmental constraints of the coast.

  • Sur is meant to operate as a stronger urban, commercial and tourism centre.
  • Marine-linked sectors are supposed to range from fisheries and research to administration and tourism rather than sitting in a narrow niche.
  • The strategy repeatedly stresses the need to keep marine and coastal growth in balance with fragile environmental conditions.

Related topic files

Five more ways into the Ash Sharqiyah South execution map

These linked files cover the other live tests in the same governorate, so the numbers on capital, jobs, services, tourism, utilities, and urban buildout can be read together instead of in isolation.