Back to pillars and priorities

Priority lens

Are Omanis actually getting private-sector jobs?

This priority determines whether Vision 2040 feels real to households: more skills, more productive firms, and more Omanis landing durable private-sector work.

11.8%

Current official reading

Omanis' share of total jobs created in the private sector in 2024.

35%

2030 target

Published public milestone for 2030.

18.4%

Projected 2030

Editorial projection based on the recent official pace and the broader delivery context.

Live tracker

Omanis in new private-sector jobs

This is the simplest public conversion metric for whether diversification is starting to land real private-sector jobs for Omani nationals.

ActualProjectedTarget path
Are Omanis actually getting private-sector jobs?Historical official readings, published target path, and editorial projection for Omanis' share of total jobs created in the private sector.6%15%25%34%44%20212022202320242030204012.4%9.7%10.5%11.8%

Current

11.8%

Omanis' share of total jobs created in the private sector in 2024.

2030 target

35%

Published public milestone for 2030.

2040 target

40%

Second milestone carried in the official public material.

Projected 2030

18.4%

Editorial projection from the recent official pace and broader delivery context.

Supporting signals

The numbers sitting underneath the headline

Skilled labour share in the private sector

56.6%

The skill mix has barely moved over the last four years, which is one reason the employment conversion line still feels thin.

Labour productivity growth

2.2%

Productivity improved in 2024, but that alone is not enough if the gains do not pull Omanis into higher-quality private jobs.

Omanis appointed to private-sector establishments

18,327

This figure covers January 2024 through April 2025 for Omanisation professions and gives a more operational read than strategy language alone.

Analysis

What the official data says

  • The current official series shows Omanis taking 11.8% of newly created private-sector jobs in 2024, up from 10.5% in 2023 and 9.7% in the 2022 benchmark reading.
  • The same report keeps the skilled-labour share in private employment stuck around the mid-50s, which means the structure of demand is still not upgrading fast enough.
  • Labour productivity improved in 2024, but the report itself is explicit that the deeper test is whether the labour market begins attracting more skilled work and shifting away from low-value hiring patterns.

Analysis

Inference and caveats

  • This is the most household-level line on the whole site. If it does not move decisively, Vision 2040 will keep looking abstract no matter how many capital projects get announced.
  • There is some series revision between report years, so the absolute history should be read with care. The direction, however, is clear: Oman is improving from a low base, not from a position anywhere near target.
  • The bigger problem is conversion, not activity. Oman now has platforms, labour-law changes and placement schemes; what it still needs is a sector mix that consistently creates local private jobs at wage and skill levels people actually want.

Analysis

What could move next

  • A stronger private hiring line will probably require more than generic Omanisation enforcement. It will need more investable sectors that naturally demand technicians, supervisors, analysts and skilled operators.
  • Watch whether logistics, clean energy, advanced manufacturing, digital services and tourism start carrying more of the national hiring load than legacy low-productivity segments.
  • If the current pace holds, Oman improves, but it still arrives well short of the 2030 line and still below the 2040 target.

Evidence table

Historical data points used in this chart

YearValueSource
202112.4%

Pre-benchmark reading carried in the 2022-2023 report.

Oman Vision 2040 Report 2022-2023
20229.7%

Later reporting uses 9.7% as the 2022 benchmark reading.

Oman Vision 2040 Report 2024-2025
202310.5%Oman Vision 2040 Report 2024-2025
202411.8%Oman Vision 2040 Report 2024-2025

Target frame

What Oman is trying to do

  • Increase the share and quality of Omani participation in private-sector employment rather than relying on public hiring buffers.
  • Raise the skill content of the private labour market and tie education more directly to high-value sectors.
  • Improve labour productivity enough that firms can absorb more national talent without losing competitiveness.

Current read

The shorter editorial read

  • The latest report shows Oman making some productivity gains, but the skills mix in the private sector is still well short of the long-run target.
  • Labour reform is becoming more operational: a new Labour Law, sector platforms such as Marsad and Khuta, and national employment programming are all now part of the execution stack.
  • The real unresolved question is conversion. Oman needs evidence that sectors being prioritized by the vision are also the sectors hiring and upgrading local talent at scale.

Related briefings

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