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Signal brief

Private-sector Jobs Target

This signal matters because it is where the vision becomes personal. Households will judge the strategy by whether better private-sector opportunities actually appear at scale.

40%

2040 target for Omanis in private-sector jobs created

The vision document makes the target explicit even if public interim reporting is still sparse.

56.6% -> 83%

Skilled labour share path

The private labour market still needs a much stronger skills mix.

3.3%

Benchmark unemployment read

The labour picture looks calmer in topline terms than the structural challenge underneath it.

Target frame

What Oman is trying to do

  • Increase the share of Omanis in private-sector job creation rather than leaning on the public sector as the primary absorber.
  • Improve labour quality and skills alignment so national hiring works in competitive industries.
  • Tie employment outcomes more directly to the sectors the vision is prioritizing for growth.

Current read

Where execution stands now

  • The target is clear, but the public scoreboard around the path still needs work. That makes this one of the most important indicators to keep pressuring for.
  • Skilled-labour and productivity data suggest Oman is improving, but not yet at the pace required for the long-run employment ambition.
  • This signal should never be read in isolation. It belongs with Tashgheel, education, private investment, and diversification.

Regional lens

How the UAE and Saudi files compare

UAE comparison

  • The UAE National Employment Strategy 2031 is explicit about growing the national workforce and raising citizen participation in value-added sectors.
  • That makes the labour competition regional and qualitative, not just domestic and numerical.

Saudi comparison

  • Saudi has published the unemployment target more visibly and is already near its 2030 level, which shows what a sharper labour KPI narrative looks like.
  • Oman can improve by making its employment pathway more public and more sector-specific.

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